Looking to make a friend to play PC games with!

2021.10.16 13:27 beetzaman Looking to make a friend to play PC games with!

Hello, I am a 22/M looking for people to play games with mostly, but also just to be friends with in general and do stuff together like watch movies, Netflix, YouTube and Twitch streams.
The games I play are Apex, Valorant, Dead By Daylight, and Overwatch mainly, but I am open to trying new games and obviously have much more that I didn't list.
If you think this sounds good please dm me and we can get to know each other and maybe play something together! 🤗
My only requirement about you is to please be in the EU or atleast close enough so that your timezone isn't too different and are around my age.
submitted by beetzaman to MakeNewFriendsHere [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 pageno69 Bngbros

Bngbros submitted by pageno69 to memes [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 SRTlegend on the clock

on the clock submitted by SRTlegend to MyWorkPawg [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 MangiBoi Gacha maths cuz I'm furious right now

Gacha maths cuz I'm furious right now This post will be a long and boring one but I don't care because my luck's been absolute trash I have to see how unlucky I am.
Starting from the suika event, I had to pity Suika, Toyohime, Youmu Alter and Yorigami Sisters. For Yorigami Sisters look at this mess:

Why game. Just why.
As you can see I've used alll of my step up pulls PLUS because I was just trying to see how far my unfortune can go I payed for some god crystals and did 20 more pulls using god prayers (this is when I got Shion - I used my exchange points for Joon).
Now let's do some maths.
THE QUESTION The question is simple: How likely (unlikely) is it for this whole sequence of failure to happen?
This is fairly an easy question, but with one catch - I am NOT going to consider the probability of the last pull where I actually got Yorigami Shion.
Therefore, the question I'm trying to ask is essentially: What is the probability of me failing all the time all the way up to the 234th pull of the Yorigami sisters festival?
Reason why I'm doing this is because if I add in the last pull, the fair question to ask would become "what is the probability of me getting only one (or less) success out of all the festivals" and that is not really the probability I want to know. I just want to know the probability of my streak of failures.
ASSUMPTIONS
  1. All festivals are independent from each other - which is quite obvious because if not then it's just plain old probability manipulaiton.
  2. Each pull is an independent Bernoulli Random variable, which is just a fancy way of saying each pull has only two outcomes - success (with probability p) or failure and is independent from other pulls.
  3. God Cube prayer consists of 9 ordinary pulls and 1 unit pull, all of them being independent from each other. This is where things get a bit complicated since we're adding two kinds of bernoulli random variables with different success rates.
  4. ALL festival / Ultrafes units have a 0.5% chance of appearing. This is not entirely true but for my case accurate enough, and because there were only festivals with slightly higher success rates, the calculation I do will be the upper bound, so I'm being only fair.
THE MATH Probability of having to pity a festival unit (where the ceiling is 150) is the same as having 150 consecutive failures, which is:
  • (1-0.005)^150 = 0.47147873742 so 47 percent.
For ultrafes, the ceiling is 250, so doing the same math, we can see the probability is:
  • (1-0.005)^250 = 0.28560788056, so around 29 percent.
For this particular spark I did for the Yorigami sisters, the math get a tad bit more complicated because I used a god crystal.
As described in assumption 3, we are now combining essentially two different types of bernoulli random variables. The distribution this makes is called a poisson binomial distribution, but for this particular case we're not really interested in that. Anyways the calculation is just a bit more complicated and it's as follows:
  • Probability of getting EITHER ONE OF THE TWO yorigami sisters = 1 - (probability of failing all 10 pulls) = 1 - ((1 - 0.01)^9 * (1 - 0.2)) = 0.26918620201
For those wondering where the 0.2 came from, it's the probability of getting yorigami sister from the unit pull:
  • P(getting yorigami sister | getting a unit)= 0.01/0.05= 0.2
As described earlier I've done 5 + 2 = 7god cube pulls, with my last pull being (pull number 235 - 244) being one of them. Getting six consecutive failures has a probability of:
  • (1- 0.26918620201)^6 = 0.15234928846
Therefore the chance of the whole Yorigami debacle happening is
  • (1-0.01)^174 * 0.15234928846 = 0.02650722656
Which means the total probability thus far is:
  • (0.47147873742 )^2 (for suika and Toyohime) * 0.28704309604 (for Youmu Alter) * 0.02650722656 (Yorigami Sisters) = 0.0016913583
OH BUT IT DOES NOT END HERE. We must consider all the prayers I did to get my weekly achievements. Suika event started on June 25th, and around 16 weeks have passed. That means I actually did around 120 extra pulls more (10 pulls to get the weekly reward minus 4 weeks where I sparked for festival units). Let's add that into the mix.
  • 0.0016913583 * (1-0.005)^120 = 0.00092684115 (Yes I never got a festival unit doing daily pulls)
0.093% chance of this happening. Of course this is not 100% accurate - in fact it can be worse because I did try a bit more for alterisa week plus there were other double unit festivals as well.
CONCLUSION 0.093% chance roughly translates to happening around once every 1079 times. Which is... Actually... Bad, but not like "This is absolute bullshit" bad. I swear it felt a lot worse.
I'll be taking a bit of a rest from this game. I mean c'mon maths aside if you've been unlucky for the past 4 months you'd also be somewhat discouraged to play the game. I'll still come back cause my horrible luck isn't the game's fault, and THLW's been one of the very few mobile games I've enjoyed playing.
...I don't know how to finish this. Use your money and Seal crystals wisely, or you'll end up like me.
submitted by MangiBoi to touhou_lostword [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 SlurrinSayings 30$ referral reward?

Hello, hope everyone’s having a good morning! I was curious about the 30$ bonus. Anyone know if it works? Bill day and every bit counts! Thank you for your time!
submitted by SlurrinSayings to CashApp [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 Massive_Dinner 🔵MINI SOLANA🔵 Stealth Launch 5 Minutes | Low Marketcap | Liquidity locked | Great Community 🦾

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2021.10.16 13:27 Acoje constant effort/the struggle to become/all in your mind

submitted by Acoje to haiku [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 ickybus overview for 7kh0xunlfw

submitted by ickybus to BotDefense [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 OKflashlightaholic NED and updated to anduril 2.

NED and updated to anduril 2. submitted by OKflashlightaholic to flashlight [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 ambieox 2meirl4meirl

2meirl4meirl submitted by ambieox to 2meirl4meirl [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 kronkeldewonkel Do you always answer these polls honestly?

View Poll
submitted by kronkeldewonkel to polls [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 Puzzleheaded-Sun6989 I talk to

I talk to submitted by Puzzleheaded-Sun6989 to funnymeme [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 FloydRichardson15 chuunibyou demo koi ga shitai character

chuunibyou demo koi ga shitai character submitted by FloydRichardson15 to chuunibyou [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 aNewChristOnAuslaw Is contempt of court able to be privately prosecuted in NSW?

submitted by aNewChristOnAuslaw to auslaw [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 Pickleballer420 Dad, step mom and sis were all antivaxmask/hoax tripe nonstop. Well until all their lungs turned to septic pudding.

Dad, step mom and sis were all antivaxmask/hoax tripe nonstop. Well until all their lungs turned to septic pudding. submitted by Pickleballer420 to HermanCainAwardDGAF [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 StaticManOnEarth Fundraising activities: How much is enough?

Is fundraising about $2000 for an orphanage impressive enough to be included in the Common App activities section?
submitted by StaticManOnEarth to ApplyingToCollege [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 colllinsjie Bitgame

submitted by colllinsjie to Crypto_Talkers [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 otakudiary1 Japanese Animation TV Ranking, October 4-10

submitted by otakudiary1 to Anime_For_Otakus [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 JGMGaming AGS want to identify our top 20 problems? Lets help them out! Top 20 upvoted comments are our biggest issues

AGS want to identify our top 20 problems? Lets help them out! Top 20 upvoted comments are our biggest issues submitted by JGMGaming to newworldgame [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 tytbone Screen grabs from "Fear and Loathing" that reminded me of the boys. You may find them amusing too (though I understand a lot of people are tired of "Chris = monkey")

Screen grabs from submitted by tytbone to OneyPlays [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 44faced Lil Taco - Already Famous

Lil Taco - Already Famous submitted by 44faced to electronica [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 Chrome-13 Why is this the first result? It’s so clearly wrong.

Why is this the first result? It’s so clearly wrong. submitted by Chrome-13 to DevilMayCry [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 casemnnov85 Alexa Collins

Alexa Collins submitted by casemnnov85 to beachhotties [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 ProfessorInMaths Looking for a romance/politics one-shot

A couple of my players are unavailable for the next few weeks so I am running a couple of one-shots with the other players. I have a good few one-shots that are based on Dungeon Delving and Defeat the monster type thing but I am looking for those that are based on Politics or Romance. Do you guys have any recommendations for such adventures, preferablly in the D&D 5e setting.
submitted by ProfessorInMaths to DMAcademy [link] [comments]


2021.10.16 13:27 nhafilaar13 Momoshiki being unintentionally cute (Queue people coming to this post just to comment on how they think Momoshiki isn't cute)

Momoshiki being unintentionally cute (Queue people coming to this post just to comment on how they think Momoshiki isn't cute) submitted by nhafilaar13 to Boruto [link] [comments]


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